PnL (30d)

−$211

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$56

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-24.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

11%

5W / 39L · 14 open

Win Return (30d)

31%

18W / 40L

Trades (30d)

58

across 23 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$11.72

avg win $55 · loss $25

Profit Factor

0.44

$166 won / $377 lost

Reward / Risk

2.20

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

2 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?	Yes	448	0.475	$212.90	$24.65	+13.1%
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	Yes	90	0.195	$17.55	$1.35	+8.3%