PnL (30d)

−$521

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

$0

no open positions

ROI (30d)

-89.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

17%

1W / 5L

Win Return (30d)

17%

1W / 5L

Trades (30d)

6

across 3 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$173.54

avg win $38 · loss $279

Profit Factor

0.07

$38 won / $559 lost

Reward / Risk

0.14

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$43

peak → trough (30d)

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	1,915	0.957	$1,832.65	$209.71	+12.9%
Will UNI reach $15.50 by December 31, 2026?	No	363	0.925	$335.77	$8.96	+2.7%
Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	No	355	0.940	$333.70	$24.85	+8.0%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	160	0.865	$138.40	$9.80	+7.6%
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	Yes	800	0.160	$128.00	$-72.00	-36.0%
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	107	0.945	$100.83	$3.83	+4.0%
Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	99	0.984	$97.09	$22.10	+29.5%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	130	0.515	$66.82	$-10.62	-13.7%
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	No	60	0.810	$48.78	$17.62	+56.6%
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	31	0.095	$2.97	$-11.25	-79.1%