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0xoops

0xede3eb7a4f05b8d8ad1dbb4d2dd6a2a3f30ae3f2
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$158
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-24.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
30%
3W / 7L · 3 open
Win Return (30d)
46%
6W / 7L
Trades (30d)
13
across 7 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$26.40
avg win $4 · loss $57
Profit Factor
0.07
$13 won / $171 lost
Reward / Risk
0.07
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $100 · all-time $125,466

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 27.3% 21W/56L 38 $2,770
🎬 Culture 1 $44
🌤 Weather 1 $44
🔬 Science 1 $44

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

13 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? No 150 0.590 $88.49 $31.00 +53.9%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No 200 0.385 $77.00 $1.00 +1.3%
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? Yes 100 0.315 $31.50 $-12.50 -28.4%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 100 0.135 $13.45 $-0.85 -5.9%
Tuyo FDV above $20M one day after launch? Yes 34 0.330 $11.18 $-3.99 -26.3%
SBF released from custody in 2026? Yes 185 0.043 $8.03 $-6.03 -42.9%
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes 40 0.175 $7.00 $-15.00 -68.2%
Next Token Sale on Coinbase by September 30, 2026? Yes 100 0.070 $7.00 $-23.00 -76.7%
Will Betmoar launch a token by March 31, 2027? Yes 20 0.285 $5.60 $-3.95 -41.3%
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027? Yes 7 0.742 $5.18 $-0.89 -14.7%
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027? Yes 4 0.876 $3.70 $0.03 +0.7%
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 No 2 0.935 $1.83 $0.87 +90.8%
Multipli.fi FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes 1 0.525 $0.77 $0.26 +50.0%