PnL (30d)

−$78

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$2

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-29.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

22%

5W / 18L · 6 open

Win Return (30d)

25%

7W / 21L · 1 open

Trades (30d)

29

across 15 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$7.78

avg win $4 · loss $16

Profit Factor

0.17

$16 won / $94 lost

Reward / Risk

0.26

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	214	0.961	$205.35	$5.35	+2.7%
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	100	0.075	$7.50	$-2.50	-25.0%
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	11	0.375	$4.31	$-1.95	-31.2%
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	67	0.026	$1.73	$-0.27	-13.3%