| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House |
No |
1,802 |
0.875 |
$1,577.07 |
$381.87 |
+31.9% |
| SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,580 |
0.860 |
$1,358.67 |
$250.07 |
+22.6% |
| Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? |
Yes |
691 |
0.695 |
$480.11 |
$92.00 |
+23.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
185 |
0.865 |
$159.96 |
$14.96 |
+10.3% |
| Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? |
No |
247 |
0.585 |
$144.52 |
$-1.24 |
-0.8% |
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
197 |
0.595 |
$117.47 |
$2.96 |
+2.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
No |
236 |
0.485 |
$114.38 |
$-1.96 |
-1.7% |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? |
Yes |
180 |
0.590 |
$106.20 |
$-3.80 |
-3.5% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? |
No |
115 |
0.875 |
$100.20 |
$16.60 |
+19.9% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House |
Yes |
230 |
0.405 |
$93.18 |
$12.65 |
+15.7% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more? |
No |
115 |
0.785 |
$89.91 |
$25.77 |
+40.2% |
| Congress approves Iran deal in 2026? |
No |
98 |
0.870 |
$84.84 |
$13.40 |
+18.8% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
168 |
0.485 |
$81.48 |
$-1.92 |
-2.3% |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? |
No |
103 |
0.715 |
$73.70 |
$12.72 |
+20.9% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? |
Yes |
66 |
0.885 |
$58.04 |
$7.54 |
+14.9% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
60 |
0.845 |
$50.31 |
$15.39 |
+44.1% |
| Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? |
Yes |
151 |
0.309 |
$46.59 |
$8.90 |
+23.6% |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
142 |
0.300 |
$42.63 |
$-10.95 |
-20.4% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win Kent County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? |
Yes |
42 |
0.997 |
$42.16 |
$10.75 |
+34.2% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? |
Yes |
44 |
0.915 |
$40.26 |
$12.19 |
+43.4% |
| Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? |
Yes |
339 |
0.090 |
$30.54 |
$-17.79 |
-36.8% |
| Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? |
Yes |
53 |
0.545 |
$28.89 |
$-8.21 |
-22.1% |
| Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
172 |
0.165 |
$28.44 |
$-43.79 |
-60.6% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
No |
23 |
0.961 |
$22.42 |
$2.72 |
+13.8% |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? |
No |
24 |
0.890 |
$21.49 |
$3.38 |
+18.7% |