PnL (30d)

+$1

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$3

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+1.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

44%

87W / 113L · 48 open

Win Return (30d)

37%

88W / 152L · 8 open

Trades (30d)

248

across 67 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

+$0.02

avg win $1 · loss $0

Profit Factor

1.09

$13 won / $12 lost

Reward / Risk

1.39

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

Open positions

16 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	10	0.145	$1.45	$-0.15	-9.4%
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?	No	10	0.145	$1.45	$-0.15	-9.4%
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	10	0.135	$1.35	$-0.25	-15.6%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	7	0.165	$1.21	$0.07	+6.2%
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	11	0.075	$0.83	$-0.16	-16.1%
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	25	0.030	$0.76	$-0.41	-35.1%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	6	0.117	$0.74	$-0.06	-7.5%
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	Yes	4	0.139	$0.55	$0.24	+75.9%
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	Yes	6	0.080	$0.47	$-0.29	-38.5%
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	12	0.037	$0.44	$-0.48	-51.9%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?	Yes	8	0.042	$0.33	$-0.63	-65.4%
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?	Yes	5	0.036	$0.18	$-0.67	-78.5%
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	1	0.064	$0.07	$-0.10	-60.7%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	1	0.065	$0.07	$-0.07	-50.0%
Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?	Yes	2	0.021	$0.03	$-0.07	-69.4%
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	9	0.002	$0.01	$-1.45	-99.1%