PnL (30d)

−$336

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$1,559

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-5.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

7%

12W / 152L · 9 open

Win Return (30d)

7%

12W / 161L

Trades (30d)

173

across 37 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

−$9.59

avg win $19 · loss $18

Profit Factor

0.31

$150 won / $486 lost

Reward / Risk

1.04

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$3

peak → trough (30d)

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	10,874	0.040	$429.54	$-282.72	-39.7%
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?	Yes	1,500	0.145	$217.50	$-427.50	-66.3%
SBF released from custody in 2026?	Yes	2,152	0.044	$95.78	$-56.62	-37.2%
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	4,444	0.017	$73.33	$-148.87	-67.0%