0xa8C4d45000b7976d897Ab79c21780E46faAA848
0xd8c4d45000b7976d897ab79c21780e46faaa848d
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$8
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+54.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
43%
10W / 13L · 2 open
Win Return (30d)
43%
10W / 13L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
25
across 13 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$0.71
avg win $7 · loss $2
Profit Factor
1.54
$22 won / $14 lost
Reward / Risk
4.11
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $41,063,943
Open positions
3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
No |
24,000 |
0.816 |
$19,572.00 |
$7,572.00 |
+63.1% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
24,000 |
0.184 |
$4,428.00 |
$-7,572.00 |
-63.1% |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets in August 2026? |
Yes |
500 |
0.002 |
$0.75 |
$0.25 |
+50.0% |