PnL (30d)

−$13

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$68

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-1.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

64%

14W / 8L · 16 open

Win Return (30d)

53%

20W / 18L

Trades (30d)

38

across 21 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$1.10

avg win $7 · loss $16

Profit Factor

0.80

$52 won / $65 lost

Reward / Risk

0.40

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1

peak → trough (30d)

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?	No	67	0.930	$62.70	$12.81	+25.7%
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?	Yes	73	0.230	$16.85	$3.66	+27.8%
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	Yes	143	0.110	$15.71	$-33.50	-68.1%
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?	Yes	74	0.060	$4.47	$-13.40	-75.0%
Iran leadership change by September 30?	Yes	76	0.055	$4.17	$-8.71	-67.6%