PnL (30d)

+$89

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$62

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+4.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

45%

147W / 177L · 44 open

Win Return (30d)

47%

171W / 195L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

368

across 94 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

+$1.14

avg win $22 · loss $9

Profit Factor

1.19

$566 won / $477 lost

Reward / Risk

2.37

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

12 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?	Yes	85	0.685	$58.07	$30.94	+114.1%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	78	0.545	$42.54	$8.20	+23.9%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?	Yes	67	0.295	$19.82	$-3.70	-15.7%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	83	0.224	$18.61	$10.28	+123.5%
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	210	0.075	$15.75	$-16.85	-51.7%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	25	0.461	$11.51	$-5.01	-30.3%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	83	0.125	$10.41	$-2.08	-16.7%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	89	0.070	$6.23	$-8.02	-56.2%
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	77	0.065	$5.01	$-9.81	-66.2%
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	50	0.033	$1.62	$-0.42	-20.7%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027?	Yes	12	0.100	$1.25	$-0.88	-41.2%
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?	Yes	3	0.060	$0.19	$-1.46	-88.2%