| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
19 |
0.865 |
$16.04 |
$1.02 |
+6.8% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
No |
13 |
0.920 |
$12.33 |
$2.32 |
+23.2% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
9 |
0.940 |
$8.70 |
$3.73 |
+75.0% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
11 |
0.655 |
$7.28 |
$2.28 |
+45.6% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? |
Yes |
7 |
0.885 |
$6.06 |
$1.06 |
+21.2% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
7 |
0.850 |
$5.90 |
$0.91 |
+18.1% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? |
No |
6 |
0.905 |
$5.88 |
$0.88 |
+17.5% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
8 |
0.715 |
$5.77 |
$0.77 |
+15.3% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
No |
6 |
0.855 |
$5.38 |
$1.07 |
+24.9% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? |
No |
6 |
0.969 |
$5.33 |
$0.32 |
+6.4% |
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? |
Yes |
6 |
0.845 |
$5.12 |
$-0.03 |
-0.6% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
12 |
0.065 |
$0.79 |
$-4.21 |
-84.1% |