PnL (30d)

−$3,060

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$13,266

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-5.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

35%

26W / 48L · 139 open

Win Return (30d)

13%

28W / 185L

Trades (30d)

213

across 31 markets · ~7 per market

EV / position

−$127.50

avg win $1,388 · loss $751

Profit Factor

0.76

$9,715 won / $12,775 lost

Reward / Risk

1.85

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$100

peak → trough (30d)

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	No	45,131	0.235	$10,605.84	$-1,959.46	-15.6%
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	Yes	47,660	0.110	$5,242.61	$-7,065.37	-57.4%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?	No	17,106	0.115	$1,967.23	$-4,102.93	-67.6%
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	No	1,161	0.956	$1,110.26	$31.36	+2.9%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	7,086	0.080	$566.89	$-705.50	-55.4%
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?	Yes	193	0.070	$13.48	$-45.82	-77.3%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?	No	373	0.002	$0.56	$-77.77	-99.3%