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Trader leaderboard/PadreMaronno

PadreMaronno

0xc468b3b8564017fcf2bf9ede2608a0ea24b1009d
PnL (30d)
−$127
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$2
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-48.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
14%
6W / 37L · 5 open
Win Return (30d)
15%
7W / 39L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
48
across 24 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$6.33
avg win $8 · loss $10
Profit Factor
0.20
$32 won / $158 lost
Reward / Risk
0.80
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$10
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $543,748

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

62 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Iran Nuke before 2027? No 400 0.952 $380.60 $64.60 +20.4%
Will Alcaraz or Sinner win more Grand Slams in 2026? Sinner 380 0.695 $263.80 $81.50 +44.7%
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US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? No 125 0.979 $121.86 $18.72 +18.2%
Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026? No 128 0.944 $120.62 $20.84 +20.9%
Will Alcaraz or Sinner win more Grand Slams in 2026? Alcaraz 355 0.305 $108.18 $-71.79 -39.9%
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No 100 0.979 $97.85 $18.47 +23.3%
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? No 100 0.978 $97.81 $24.80 +34.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? No 100 0.978 $97.79 $21.36 +27.9%
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? No 100 0.975 $97.50 $29.42 +43.2%
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No 100 0.925 $92.50 $7.50 +8.8%
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No 100 0.875 $87.50 $11.50 +15.1%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes 120 0.685 $82.20 $12.20 +17.4%
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes 90 0.820 $73.80 $24.30 +49.1%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No 70 0.905 $63.33 $10.15 +19.1%
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No 70 0.885 $61.95 $10.85 +21.2%
Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2026? No 60 0.945 $56.70 $23.70 +71.8%
Bitmine sells any Ethereum in 2026? No 60 0.815 $48.89 $6.99 +16.7%
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? No 60 0.775 $46.50 $14.10 +43.5%
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? No 70 0.620 $43.40 $-3.50 -7.5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No 90 0.455 $40.95 $11.25 +37.9%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No 60 0.640 $38.39 $9.60 +33.3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No 50 0.755 $37.76 $7.25 +23.8%
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? No 40 0.880 $35.20 $10.40 +41.9%
Lamar Jackson traded by next season? No 30 0.979 $29.37 $10.77 +57.9%