| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
750 |
0.835 |
$626.42 |
$69.11 |
+12.4% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
5,000 |
0.117 |
$582.50 |
$-224.50 |
-27.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
800 |
0.615 |
$492.02 |
$-162.21 |
-24.8% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
Yes |
1,614 |
0.190 |
$306.61 |
$-224.33 |
-42.3% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
105 |
0.675 |
$70.88 |
$9.93 |
+16.3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? |
Yes |
300 |
0.145 |
$43.52 |
$-36.37 |
-45.5% |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.275 |
$27.50 |
$3.45 |
+14.4% |
| Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
141 |
0.165 |
$23.23 |
$2.19 |
+10.4% |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? |
Yes |
89 |
0.250 |
$22.15 |
$-17.19 |
-43.7% |
| Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? |
Yes |
245 |
0.090 |
$22.09 |
$-4.45 |
-16.8% |
| Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.971 |
$19.41 |
$0.39 |
+2.1% |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? |
No |
50 |
0.255 |
$12.75 |
$-6.25 |
-32.9% |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.059 |
$5.85 |
$-1.95 |
-25.0% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
10 |
0.545 |
$5.45 |
$2.05 |
+60.3% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? |
Yes |
30 |
0.045 |
$1.35 |
$-2.25 |
-62.5% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? |
Yes |
10 |
0.115 |
$1.15 |
$-0.25 |
-17.9% |