Ol6
0xbfbea58107723b2afc48406dbec20f863d6a2b85
PnL (30d)
+$230
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$20
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+135.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
17%
4W / 20L · 11 open
Win Return (30d)
17%
6W / 29L
Trades (30d)
35
across 17 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$17.66
avg win $101 · loss $7
Profit Factor
4.19
$302 won / $72 lost
Reward / Risk
13.95
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$2
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $631 · all-time $63,945
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,600 |
0.043 |
$68.64 |
$-94.56 |
-57.9% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? |
Yes |
1,458 |
0.037 |
$54.67 |
$-16.78 |
-23.5% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
No |
29 |
0.925 |
$26.82 |
$11.45 |
+74.5% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
No |
80 |
0.145 |
$11.60 |
$-26.00 |
-69.1% |