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Trader leaderboard/fdg

fdg

0xbd6d646b2c713ce7459afcb1502f34c30f93ed0b
PnL (30d)
−$338
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$10
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-5.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
46%
51W / 61L · 13 open
Win Return (30d)
45%
56W / 69L
Trades (30d)
125
across 60 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$6.51
avg win $111 · loss $74
Profit Factor
0.86
$2,110 won / $2,449 lost
Reward / Risk
1.50
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$38
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $986,068

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

26 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes 5,310 0.905 $4,805.36 $1,762.32 +57.9%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 2,000 0.184 $369.00 $-145.20 -28.2%
Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No 288 0.996 $286.60 $169.18 +144.1%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes 1,313 0.160 $210.09 $15.27 +7.8%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes 1,020 0.193 $196.30 $62.15 +46.3%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 2,033 0.086 $173.84 $17.28 +11.0%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes 1,000 0.075 $75.00 $-15.00 -16.7%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes 1,007 0.064 $64.47 $-7.76 -10.7%
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? Yes 110 0.565 $62.14 $18.74 +43.2%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes 188 0.325 $61.13 $-15.99 -20.7%
Will Western Digital (WDC) Q4 exabytes shipped be above 240? Yes 66 0.605 $39.69 $26.17 +193.6%
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? Yes 1,430 0.025 $36.32 $-22.07 -37.8%
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes 509 0.065 $33.09 $-185.73 -84.9%
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 500 0.029 $14.75 $1.75 +13.5%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.6T and 0.9T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes 525 0.025 $13.14 $11.40 +658.0%
Will Western Digital (WDC) Q4 exabytes shipped be above 235? Yes 20 0.625 $12.50 $-0.30 -2.3%
Will Western Digital (WDC) Q4 exabytes shipped be above 235? No 22 0.375 $8.21 $0.33 +4.2%
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? No 20 0.375 $7.50 $-2.30 -23.5%
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes 65 0.052 $3.39 $1.86 +122.2%
Will Tyreek Hill play for the Kansas City Chiefs next? Yes 13 0.177 $2.38 $0.90 +60.9%
Will Western Digital (WDC) Q4 exabytes shipped be above 240? No 5 0.395 $1.98 $-2.08 -51.2%
Will Tyreek Hill play for the Las Vegas Raiders next? Yes 13 0.105 $1.33 $0.70 +111.0%
Will Western Digital (WDC) Q4 exabytes shipped be above 255? Yes 5 0.205 $1.02 $-1.27 -55.4%
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes 12 0.080 $0.98 $-0.24 -20.0%
Will Western Digital (WDC) Q4 exabytes shipped be above 250? Yes 5 0.160 $0.80 $-1.45 -64.4%