PnL (30d)

+$7

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$2

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+7.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

44%

17W / 22L · 3 open

Win Return (30d)

40%

17W / 25L

Trades (30d)

42

across 26 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$0.31

avg win $14 · loss $4

Profit Factor

1.10

$81 won / $74 lost

Reward / Risk

3.30

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$2

peak → trough (30d)

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	68	0.050	$3.40	$-4.17	-55.0%
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	71	0.038	$2.72	$-3.15	-53.7%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	3	0.685	$2.25	$0.31	+16.1%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	6	0.225	$1.39	$-0.52	-27.4%
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	11	0.065	$0.70	$-1.24	-63.9%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	6	0.085	$0.53	$-1.40	-72.6%