| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
16,000 |
0.835 |
$13,360.16 |
$1,076.48 |
+8.8% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
10,294 |
0.940 |
$9,671.13 |
$845.70 |
+9.6% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
10,000 |
0.935 |
$9,349.96 |
$330.04 |
+3.7% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
6,000 |
0.985 |
$5,909.99 |
$-7.00 |
-0.1% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
6,081 |
0.823 |
$5,001.66 |
$3,680.90 |
+278.7% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
5,500 |
0.875 |
$4,812.49 |
$88.66 |
+1.9% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? |
No |
5,000 |
0.925 |
$4,624.99 |
$25.00 |
+0.5% |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
No |
4,010 |
0.980 |
$3,927.79 |
$12.06 |
+0.3% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
No |
3,964 |
0.735 |
$2,913.82 |
$62.12 |
+2.2% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
No |
2,900 |
0.875 |
$2,537.45 |
$679.50 |
+36.6% |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? |
No |
2,720 |
0.895 |
$2,434.70 |
$294.97 |
+13.8% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? |
No |
2,000 |
0.945 |
$1,890.00 |
$70.00 |
+3.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
3,250 |
0.375 |
$1,218.75 |
$51.26 |
+4.4% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? |
No |
1,250 |
0.973 |
$1,215.62 |
$73.12 |
+6.4% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
3,000 |
0.356 |
$1,068.00 |
$-48.50 |
-4.3% |
| Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
1.000 |
$999.50 |
$46.50 |
+4.9% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.989 |
$988.51 |
$14.50 |
+1.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
950 |
0.969 |
$920.06 |
$8.38 |
+0.9% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
Yes |
3,000 |
0.305 |
$914.99 |
$175.00 |
+23.6% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.455 |
$910.15 |
$3.58 |
+0.4% |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? |
Yes |
4,000 |
0.215 |
$860.00 |
$-20.00 |
-2.3% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
No |
800 |
0.945 |
$756.00 |
$92.00 |
+13.9% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
No |
2,000 |
0.375 |
$750.00 |
$30.00 |
+4.2% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? |
No |
1,080 |
0.680 |
$734.15 |
$-14.39 |
-1.9% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
1,100 |
0.625 |
$687.49 |
$126.00 |
+22.4% |