0x8712
0xa67685fa5213fd8167977bfb7b3f50c06d511c22
PnL (30d)
+$6,828
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$51
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+843.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
83%
40W / 8L · 1 open
Win Return (30d)
84%
41W / 8L
Trades (30d)
49
across 4 markets · ~12 per market
EV / position
+$2,276.09
avg win $7,638 · loss $405
Profit Factor
9.43
$7,638 won / $810 lost
Reward / Risk
18.87
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$440
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $4,008,986
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
No |
4,000 |
0.835 |
$3,339.99 |
$1,922.98 |
+135.7% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.940 |
$1,878.98 |
$810.99 |
+75.9% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
1,000 |
0.935 |
$935.00 |
$455.00 |
+94.8% |
| Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? |
No |
800 |
0.927 |
$742.00 |
$70.00 |
+10.4% |
| Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? |
Yes |
2,824 |
0.200 |
$564.79 |
$-56.48 |
-9.1% |
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.440 |
$440.00 |
$130.00 |
+41.9% |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? |
Yes |
300 |
0.250 |
$75.00 |
$-91.29 |
-54.9% |
| Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? |
Yes |
3,000 |
0.011 |
$34.50 |
$-166.69 |
-82.9% |