| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
250 |
0.850 |
$212.37 |
$31.81 |
+17.6% |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.855 |
$171.00 |
$47.20 |
+38.1% |
| Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026? |
No |
191 |
0.895 |
$170.88 |
$34.23 |
+25.0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? |
No |
180 |
0.815 |
$146.68 |
$1.28 |
+0.9% |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026? |
No |
180 |
0.780 |
$140.40 |
$5.80 |
+4.3% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House |
Yes |
300 |
0.405 |
$121.50 |
$14.50 |
+13.6% |
| Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? |
No |
180 |
0.650 |
$117.00 |
$-23.40 |
-16.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
120 |
0.835 |
$100.20 |
$1.00 |
+1.0% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
350 |
0.278 |
$97.12 |
$37.76 |
+63.6% |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? |
No |
100 |
0.925 |
$92.50 |
$11.50 |
+14.2% |
| Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30? |
No |
180 |
0.480 |
$86.40 |
$33.40 |
+63.0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
80 |
0.981 |
$78.44 |
$6.04 |
+8.3% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? |
No |
180 |
0.430 |
$77.40 |
$3.60 |
+4.9% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
No |
90 |
0.855 |
$76.95 |
$12.15 |
+18.8% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
No |
50 |
0.915 |
$45.75 |
$20.75 |
+83.0% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? |
No |
180 |
0.210 |
$37.80 |
$9.00 |
+31.2% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
No |
40 |
0.905 |
$36.20 |
$5.80 |
+19.1% |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? |
Yes |
79 |
0.165 |
$13.03 |
$-43.76 |
-77.1% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.095 |
$9.50 |
$-8.50 |
-47.2% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
Yes |
180 |
0.040 |
$7.11 |
$-9.09 |
-56.1% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? |
Yes |
60 |
0.045 |
$2.70 |
$-2.10 |
-43.7% |