PnL (30d)

−$147

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$37

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-50.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

39%

17W / 27L · 5 open

Win Return (30d)

37%

18W / 31L

Trades (30d)

49

across 23 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$7.36

avg win $9 · loss $12

Profit Factor

0.20

$37 won / $185 lost

Reward / Risk

0.81

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

Open positions

16 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	215	0.180	$38.69	$-60.36	-60.9%
Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?	Yes	77	0.135	$10.34	$-13.57	-56.8%
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	100	0.100	$10.00	$-10.18	-50.4%
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	Yes	80	0.115	$9.20	$-26.00	-73.9%
Will Burundi have an Ebola case in 2026?	Yes	30	0.250	$7.50	$-12.00	-61.5%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	60	0.095	$5.70	$-7.57	-57.0%
Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026?	Yes	9	0.635	$5.60	$-0.57	-9.3%
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?	Yes	26	0.210	$5.46	$-6.78	-55.4%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	Yes	20	0.225	$4.50	$-0.70	-13.5%
Will China have an Ebola case in 2026?	Yes	15	0.220	$3.34	$-1.67	-33.3%
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	Yes	12	0.260	$3.25	$-2.51	-43.5%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?	No	30	0.105	$3.15	$-11.55	-78.6%
Will Rwanda have an Ebola case in 2026?	Yes	10	0.305	$3.05	$-3.45	-53.1%
OPEC dissolves in 2026?	Yes	28	0.055	$1.52	$-1.52	-50.0%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	38	0.038	$1.46	$-1.61	-52.5%
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	Yes	50	0.015	$0.78	$-2.23	-74.2%