PnL (30d)

−$712

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$29

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-37.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

23%

14W / 46L · 13 open

Win Return (30d)

23%

16W / 55L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

73

across 56 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

−$14.84

avg win $98 · loss $34

Profit Factor

0.49

$686 won / $1,398 lost

Reward / Risk

2.87

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

Open positions

7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	294	0.165	$48.53	$-1.47	-2.9%
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	294	0.145	$42.65	$-7.35	-14.7%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	375	0.065	$24.38	$-5.62	-18.8%
Iran leadership change by September 30?	Yes	274	0.055	$15.08	$-14.92	-49.7%
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	69	0.105	$7.24	$-12.76	-63.8%
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	Yes	294	0.015	$4.26	$-5.74	-57.4%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?	No	250	0.001	$0.12	$-19.88	-99.4%