PnL (30d)

+$83

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$3

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+173.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

38%

8W / 13L · 7 open

Win Return (30d)

50%

14W / 14L

Trades (30d)

28

across 16 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$5.94

avg win $18 · loss $6

Profit Factor

2.89

$127 won / $44 lost

Reward / Risk

2.89

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

Open positions

13 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will there be at least 2450 measles cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026?	Yes	100	0.961	$96.10	$46.10	+92.2%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	1,000	0.025	$25.40	$-4.60	-15.3%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?	Yes	100	0.102	$10.25	$5.25	+105.0%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	464	0.015	$7.20	$-1.16	-13.9%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	2,500	0.003	$6.25	$-13.75	-68.8%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50	0.117	$5.83	$-2.67	-31.5%
Will there be at least 2450 measles cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026?	No	100	0.039	$3.90	$-46.10	-92.2%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	100	0.038	$3.85	$-5.35	-58.2%
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	996	0.004	$3.49	$-6.48	-65.0%
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	1,189	0.002	$1.78	$-2.97	-62.5%
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	250	0.006	$1.62	$-0.88	-35.0%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	250	0.004	$1.12	$-1.62	-59.1%
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	144	0.002	$0.22	$-0.78	-78.4%