PnL (30d)

−$3,397

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$875

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-17.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

35%

19W / 36L · 15 open

Win Return (30d)

49%

34W / 36L

Trades (30d)

70

across 25 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$199.85

avg win $159 · loss $2,890

Profit Factor

0.41

$2,383 won / $5,781 lost

Reward / Risk

0.05

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

Open positions

8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026?	Yes	623	0.885	$551.27	$374.27	+211.5%
Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026?	No	398	0.958	$380.79	$229.84	+152.3%
Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	278	0.925	$257.29	$132.12	+105.6%
Will Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	321	0.595	$190.92	$81.47	+74.4%
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	374	0.370	$138.34	$16.85	+13.9%
Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	64	0.698	$44.42	$19.60	+79.0%
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	54	0.695	$37.80	$18.66	+97.5%
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	42	0.430	$18.15	$2.93	+19.3%