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Trader

0x7292badabefa0f7d321cc827e5b9872c4e15d0ea
PnL (30d)
−$223
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-23.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
54%
71W / 61L · 11 open
Win Return (30d)
55%
78W / 65L
Trades (30d)
143
across 54 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$4.29
avg win $2 · loss $12
Profit Factor
0.21
$61 won / $284 lost
Reward / Risk
0.17
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$44
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $64,610

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 150 0.615 $92.25 $-14.75 -13.8%
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? No 100 0.825 $82.44 $-1.55 -1.8%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 100 0.740 $73.94 $-2.85 -3.7%
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election? No 100 0.735 $73.50 $2.00 +2.8%
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes 100 0.515 $51.50 $-18.50 -26.4%
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? No 50 0.996 $49.79 $5.70 +12.9%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes 50 0.905 $45.25 $7.75 +20.7%
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026? No 20 0.992 $19.84 $1.24 +6.7%
Will Matt Klein be the Democratic nominee for MN-02? No 20 0.880 $17.60 $-0.60 -3.3%
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No 20 0.835 $16.70 $2.70 +19.3%
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? No 20 0.640 $12.81 $-1.23 -8.8%