| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
2,200 |
0.790 |
$1,739.10 |
$639.10 |
+58.1% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
2,200 |
0.209 |
$460.90 |
$-639.10 |
-58.1% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
131 |
0.926 |
$121.36 |
$2.43 |
+2.0% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
No |
125 |
0.915 |
$114.38 |
$4.83 |
+4.4% |
| Will Colorado have the closest Senate race in 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.981 |
$98.05 |
$8.05 |
+8.9% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
105 |
0.925 |
$97.12 |
$5.08 |
+5.5% |
| Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? |
No |
98 |
0.932 |
$91.00 |
$9.20 |
+11.2% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? |
No |
90 |
0.962 |
$86.53 |
$5.12 |
+6.3% |
| Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? |
No |
50 |
0.989 |
$49.45 |
$0.98 |
+2.0% |
| Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? |
No |
50 |
0.959 |
$47.92 |
$0.92 |
+2.0% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? |
No |
50 |
0.957 |
$47.83 |
$2.29 |
+5.0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
70 |
0.675 |
$47.25 |
$5.25 |
+12.5% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? |
Yes |
45 |
0.967 |
$43.52 |
$8.35 |
+23.7% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? |
Yes |
46 |
0.865 |
$39.79 |
$16.52 |
+71.0% |
| Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? |
Yes |
30 |
0.993 |
$29.75 |
$7.47 |
+33.5% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
No |
45 |
0.545 |
$24.52 |
$0.42 |
+1.8% |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? |
No |
30 |
0.765 |
$22.95 |
$-0.05 |
-0.2% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House |
Yes |
50 |
0.405 |
$20.25 |
$2.95 |
+17.1% |
| Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
20 |
0.977 |
$19.54 |
$0.48 |
+2.5% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
35 |
0.555 |
$19.43 |
$1.52 |
+8.5% |
| Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 20,000-30,000? |
Yes |
24 |
0.705 |
$16.92 |
$6.12 |
+56.7% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
15 |
0.987 |
$14.80 |
$0.90 |
+6.5% |
| Will Cuba recognize Israel by December 31? |
No |
15 |
0.955 |
$14.32 |
$1.27 |
+9.8% |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? |
No |
15 |
0.825 |
$12.36 |
$0.54 |
+4.6% |
| Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? |
Yes |
20 |
0.620 |
$12.16 |
$2.16 |
+21.6% |