PnL (30d)

−$118

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$2

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-58.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

21%

8W / 30L · 6 open

Win Return (30d)

23%

10W / 34L

Trades (30d)

44

across 22 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$6.56

avg win $3 · loss $9

Profit Factor

0.08

$10 won / $128 lost

Reward / Risk

0.28

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$5

peak → trough (30d)

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?	Yes	149	0.045	$6.69	$-1.31	-16.4%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?	Yes	18	0.115	$2.03	$-0.97	-32.4%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	9	0.115	$1.06	$-3.94	-78.7%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?	Yes	43	0.011	$0.50	$-0.50	-50.0%