marketmover-344
0x6f6465996df846d5a8954df1159a72f5e78732b3
PnL (30d)
−$27
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$71
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
59%
20W / 14L · 8 open
Win Return (30d)
67%
28W / 14L
Trades (30d)
42
across 14 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$2.28
avg win $16 · loss $38
Profit Factor
0.82
$126 won / $154 lost
Reward / Risk
0.41
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $306,457
Open positions
3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
1,000 |
0.835 |
$835.00 |
$25.00 |
+3.1% |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31? |
No |
500 |
0.983 |
$491.23 |
$36.25 |
+8.0% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? |
No |
184 |
0.835 |
$153.68 |
$8.28 |
+5.7% |