PnL (30d)

−$16

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$7

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-8.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

0%

0W / 7L · 3 open

Win Return (30d)

30%

3W / 7L

Trades (30d)

10

across 5 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$8.02

· loss $8

Profit Factor

0.00

$0 won / $16 lost

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

−$16

peak → trough (30d)

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

12 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	304	0.625	$190.00	$-34.27	-15.3%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	150	0.615	$92.24	$-2.25	-2.4%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	30	0.675	$20.25	$-0.15	-0.7%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	100	0.165	$16.50	$1.50	+10.0%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	2,750	0.004	$12.37	$-12.38	-50.0%
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	35	0.195	$6.83	$-13.47	-66.4%
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	Yes	247	0.024	$5.80	$-26.24	-81.9%
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	205	0.017	$3.38	$-1.54	-31.2%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	75	0.040	$2.96	$-16.54	-84.8%
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	15	0.105	$1.57	$-1.12	-41.7%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	10	0.117	$1.17	$-0.94	-44.5%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	25	0.044	$1.11	$0.36	+48.3%