PnL (30d)

−$322

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$51

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-30.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

6%

5W / 76L · 16 open

Win Return (30d)

7%

7W / 90L

Trades (30d)

97

across 22 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$16.94

avg win $9 · loss $22

Profit Factor

0.08

$28 won / $350 lost

Reward / Risk

0.43

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$42

peak → trough (30d)

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	Yes	190	0.165	$31.43	$3.43	+12.2%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?	Yes	804	0.032	$25.73	$-4.27	-14.2%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?	No	191	0.001	$0.10	$-47.41	-99.8%