PnL (30d)

−$1,337

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$1

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-49.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

50%

2W / 2L · 6 open

Win Return (30d)

30%

3W / 7L

Trades (30d)

10

across 8 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

−$668.70

avg win $301 · loss $1,639

Profit Factor

0.18

$301 won / $1,639 lost

Reward / Risk

0.18

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1,639

peak → trough (30d)

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	34	0.825	$27.99	$7.99	+39.9%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	27	0.845	$22.70	$4.70	+26.1%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	25	0.886	$22.42	$12.42	+124.2%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	22	0.945	$21.26	$3.26	+18.1%
Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?	No	13	0.895	$12.01	$2.01	+20.1%
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	No	14	0.835	$11.76	$1.76	+17.6%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	13	0.905	$11.60	$1.60	+16.0%
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?	No	12	0.915	$10.76	$0.76	+7.6%
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	14	0.275	$3.82	$-1.18	-23.6%