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Trader leaderboard/coldhot

coldhot

0x68540c38878781e28add4857f7574802ddcd67d0
PnL (30d)
+$88
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$75
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+2.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
64%
82W / 46L · 137 open
Win Return (30d)
59%
157W / 107L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
265
across 171 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$0.83
avg win $8 · loss $14
Profit Factor
1.18
$568 won / $480 lost
Reward / Risk
0.57
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $21 · all-time $251,119

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $518,000 and $524,000 on September 30? Yes 122 0.371 $45.36 $27.91 +160.0%
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on December 31, 2026? Yes 136 0.295 $40.26 $28.89 +254.0%
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $536,000 and $542,000 on September 30? Yes 90 0.390 $35.03 $22.20 +173.0%
Will Larsen & Toubro Ltd be the largest Indian company? Yes 88 0.345 $30.51 $24.98 +451.8%
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on December 31, 2026? Yes 136 0.160 $21.77 $10.39 +91.4%
Will the median home value in NYC be between $609,000 and $636,000 on September 30? No 30 0.725 $21.74 $-7.17 -24.8%
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.50 and $4.00 on December 31, 2026? No 21 0.924 $18.95 $-1.35 -6.7%
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%? No 21 0.895 $18.62 $6.35 +51.7%
Will July 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record? No 20 0.931 $18.47 $10.74 +138.8%
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election by at least 15%? Yes 15 0.970 $14.54 $12.40 +579.0%
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on December 31, 2026? Yes 95 0.145 $13.71 $5.83 +74.0%
Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? Yes 29 0.440 $12.76 $12.29 +2583.1%
Will Patrick Ball – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series? No 20 0.615 $12.31 $-3.50 -22.2%
Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in July? Yes 60 0.190 $11.32 $1.39 +14.0%
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $3.00 on December 31, 2026? Yes 42 0.261 $10.93 $4.95 +82.7%
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? No 35 0.300 $10.50 $0.35 +3.5%
Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $2.50 on December 31, 2026? Yes 136 0.075 $10.30 $-1.07 -9.4%
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $1.50 and $2.00 on December 31, 2026? No 12 0.843 $9.95 $-1.32 -11.7%
Will voter turnout be between 70% and 80% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? Yes 50 0.195 $9.75 $-0.25 -2.5%
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $512,000 and $518,000 on September 30? Yes 122 0.079 $9.58 $-7.86 -45.1%
Will Kawhi play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27? Yes 35 0.273 $9.55 $8.49 +800.9%
Will Lola Tomaszewski win Big Brother Argentina 2026? Yes 19 0.490 $9.08 $8.70 +2301.0%
Will Brian Sarmiento win Big Brother Argentina 2026? Yes 19 0.490 $9.08 $8.70 +2301.0%
Will Jennifer "Pincoya" Galvarini win Big Brother Argentina 2026? Yes 19 0.485 $8.99 $8.61 +2276.5%
Will Franco Zunino win Big Brother Argentina 2026? Yes 19 0.485 $8.99 $8.61 +2276.5%