PnL (30d)

−$11,768

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$2,219

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-15.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

42%

50W / 70L · 22 open

Win Return (30d)

38%

54W / 88L

Trades (30d)

142

across 94 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$145.29

avg win $455 · loss $625

Profit Factor

0.58

$16,363 won / $28,131 lost

Reward / Risk

0.73

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$20

peak → trough (30d)

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

15 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	4,660	0.510	$2,376.60	$1,126.61	+90.1%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	1,587	0.675	$1,071.43	$71.43	+7.1%
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	12,289	0.048	$583.72	$-16.26	-2.7%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?	No	2,865	0.105	$300.87	$-499.12	-62.4%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	5,266	0.055	$289.62	$-610.37	-67.8%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	1,850	0.155	$286.69	$-213.31	-42.7%
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	1,953	0.145	$283.19	$-116.81	-29.2%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	1,682	0.147	$248.08	$-51.92	-17.3%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	8,026	0.026	$212.69	$-487.29	-69.6%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	1,364	0.155	$211.36	$-88.64	-29.5%
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	Yes	1,808	0.105	$189.89	$-510.11	-72.9%
Iran coup attempt by December 31?	Yes	1,548	0.105	$162.57	$-37.42	-18.7%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	2,412	0.065	$156.76	$-43.24	-21.6%
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?	Yes	1,256	0.055	$69.07	$-330.92	-82.7%
Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Yes	1,277	0.050	$63.86	$-36.13	-36.1%