| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
36 |
0.997 |
$36.22 |
$3.61 |
+11.1% |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? |
Yes |
12 |
0.660 |
$7.76 |
$2.06 |
+36.1% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
Yes |
5 |
0.999 |
$5.00 |
$1.33 |
+36.2% |
| Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06? |
No |
5 |
0.992 |
$4.96 |
$0.56 |
+12.7% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
5 |
0.981 |
$4.90 |
$0.30 |
+6.6% |
| Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06? |
Yes |
5 |
0.970 |
$4.85 |
$0.65 |
+15.5% |
| US military draft authorized in 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.954 |
$4.77 |
$0.17 |
+3.6% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
5 |
0.655 |
$3.27 |
$0.97 |
+42.4% |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
Yes |
5 |
0.604 |
$2.87 |
$-0.99 |
-25.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
5 |
0.515 |
$2.58 |
$-0.57 |
-18.3% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
10 |
0.215 |
$2.15 |
$-5.50 |
-71.9% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
5 |
0.261 |
$1.30 |
$-0.01 |
-0.6% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
2 |
0.675 |
$1.18 |
$0.18 |
+18.4% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? |
Yes |
5 |
0.115 |
$0.57 |
$-2.33 |
-80.2% |