marketp
0x4fd8082eac8aed928f3c7dd203a09569123e0d38
PnL (30d)
+$112
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$12
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+3.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
96%
25W / 1L · 2 open
Win Return (30d)
89%
25W / 3L
Trades (30d)
28
across 8 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$18.62
avg win $25 · loss $15
Profit Factor
8.45
$127 won / $15 lost
Reward / Risk
1.69
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $62 · all-time $145,855
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.275 |
$275.00 |
$-135.00 |
-32.9% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? |
Yes |
1,546 |
0.115 |
$177.79 |
$-467.77 |
-72.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
200 |
0.625 |
$125.00 |
$-49.00 |
-28.2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
87 |
0.835 |
$72.31 |
$-6.50 |
-8.2% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
Yes |
200 |
0.265 |
$53.00 |
$-61.00 |
-53.5% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
Yes |
62 |
0.065 |
$4.03 |
$-5.89 |
-59.4% |