Trader
0x4c2966a198cd7ac982110d0219b037afa9997570
PnL (30d)
+$414
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$687
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+8.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
89%
17W / 2L · 14 open
Win Return (30d)
93%
26W / 2L · 5 open
Trades (30d)
33
across 15 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$103.43
avg win $145 · loss $21
Profit Factor
20.56
$435 won / $21 lost
Reward / Risk
6.85
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $146,880,093
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
16,000 |
0.790 |
$12,648.00 |
$4,648.00 |
+58.1% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
16,000 |
0.209 |
$3,352.00 |
$-4,648.00 |
-58.1% |
| Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $135B by December 31? |
No |
1,617 |
0.980 |
$1,583.83 |
$121.72 |
+8.3% |
| Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $300B by December 31? |
No |
1,482 |
0.935 |
$1,385.60 |
$37.05 |
+2.7% |
| Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $140B by December 31? |
No |
1,424 |
0.940 |
$1,338.20 |
$67.88 |
+5.3% |
| Databricks vs Stripe — higher valuation on December 31? |
Databricks |
735 |
0.795 |
$584.33 |
$453.67 |
+347.2% |
| Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by December 31? |
No |
257 |
0.820 |
$210.34 |
$41.04 |
+24.2% |
| Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by December 31? |
Yes |
182 |
0.919 |
$167.38 |
$9.66 |
+6.1% |