| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? |
No |
1,045 |
0.962 |
$1,004.77 |
$351.47 |
+53.8% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? |
No |
1,000 |
0.981 |
$980.49 |
$69.50 |
+7.6% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? |
No |
961 |
0.959 |
$921.74 |
$55.75 |
+6.4% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027? |
No |
544 |
0.983 |
$534.68 |
$40.57 |
+8.2% |
| ECB rate cut in 2026? |
No |
500 |
0.910 |
$455.00 |
$215.83 |
+90.2% |
| Trump goes to space in 2026? |
No |
300 |
0.984 |
$295.05 |
$4.05 |
+1.4% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
No |
200 |
0.935 |
$187.00 |
$15.00 |
+8.7% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027? |
No |
135 |
0.976 |
$131.51 |
$4.93 |
+3.9% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
No |
139 |
0.945 |
$130.97 |
$20.10 |
+18.1% |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
2,315 |
0.025 |
$57.87 |
$-394.54 |
-87.2% |
| US recession by end of 2026? |
No |
50 |
0.910 |
$45.50 |
$8.00 |
+21.3% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
No |
199 |
0.177 |
$35.31 |
$-155.48 |
-81.5% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 2.0% before 2027? |
No |
26 |
0.951 |
$24.79 |
$2.62 |
+11.8% |
| Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy? |
Yes |
50 |
0.460 |
$23.00 |
$-3.00 |
-11.5% |
| GTA VI released before November 2026? |
Yes |
696 |
0.029 |
$20.18 |
$-74.01 |
-78.6% |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
Yes |
2,644 |
0.007 |
$19.83 |
$-45.92 |
-69.8% |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.830 |
$8.30 |
$3.30 |
+66.0% |
| Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy? |
Yes |
100 |
0.082 |
$8.20 |
$-1.20 |
-12.8% |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%? |
Yes |
50 |
0.155 |
$7.75 |
$-29.25 |
-79.1% |