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Trader leaderboard/TheTrader1212

TheTrader1212

0x4821f344d442e830e6738430d6f42c1762026ab1
PnL (30d)
−$21
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$33
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-4.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
65%
34W / 18L · 25 open
Win Return (30d)
52%
40W / 37L
Trades (30d)
77
across 34 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.99
avg win $8 · loss $11
Profit Factor
0.81
$90 won / $111 lost
Reward / Risk
0.74
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $29,007

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

15 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 160 0.155 $24.80 $-8.60 -25.7%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes 217 0.095 $20.58 $-14.68 -41.6%
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes 117 0.145 $16.93 $-18.07 -51.6%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes 100 0.065 $6.50 $-3.50 -35.0%
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes 8 0.507 $4.06 $1.08 +36.0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? No 42 0.095 $3.99 $-13.23 -76.8%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes 50 0.075 $3.75 $-0.75 -16.7%
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes 90 0.030 $2.75 $-2.65 -49.2%
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes 90 0.024 $2.12 $1.03 +95.8%
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes 30 0.065 $1.95 $-0.75 -27.8%
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? Yes 50 0.029 $1.43 $-0.33 -18.6%
Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? Yes 40 0.019 $0.78 $-0.34 -30.4%
Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? Yes 30 0.015 $0.46 $-0.67 -59.2%
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes 40 0.006 $0.26 $-0.78 -75.0%
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes 50 0.004 $0.23 $-1.77 -88.8%