PnL (30d)

−$78

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$1

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-74.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

2%

1W / 40L · 1 open

Win Return (30d)

5%

2W / 40L

Trades (30d)

42

across 33 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

−$2.43

avg win $15 · loss $3

Profit Factor

0.16

$15 won / $93 lost

Reward / Risk

5.08

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$10

peak → trough (30d)

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

17 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	165	0.261	$42.92	$12.92	+43.1%
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	247	0.046	$11.49	$-23.51	-67.2%
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	264	0.025	$6.59	$-6.41	-49.3%
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	260	0.024	$6.24	$-8.76	-58.4%
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	217	0.026	$5.74	$-9.26	-61.7%
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	240	0.022	$5.29	$-2.71	-33.9%
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	247	0.021	$5.28	$-2.72	-34.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	240	0.022	$5.27	$-3.73	-41.4%
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	Yes	324	0.015	$5.02	$-21.98	-81.4%
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	254	0.018	$4.70	$-2.30	-32.9%
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	109	0.036	$3.98	$-8.02	-66.8%
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	116	0.034	$3.93	$-7.07	-64.3%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	376	0.007	$2.82	$-17.18	-85.9%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	167	0.013	$2.25	$0.25	+12.5%
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	111	0.004	$0.44	$-0.56	-55.5%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	767	0.001	$0.38	$-14.62	-97.4%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	143	0.002	$0.21	$-2.79	-92.9%