GeoAlpha1
0x3b80c66a6ef3ea1ac20814d9e5aa940e5337047b
PnL (30d)
+$72
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$26
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+2.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
75%
52W / 17L · 11 open
Win Return (30d)
65%
52W / 28L
Trades (30d)
80
across 27 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$3.00
avg win $5 · loss $4
Profit Factor
3.70
$99 won / $27 lost
Reward / Risk
1.23
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $205 · all-time $240,495
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
No |
60 |
0.983 |
$58.98 |
$4.43 |
+8.1% |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
5 |
0.986 |
$4.92 |
$0.07 |
+1.4% |
| Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
Yes |
5 |
0.983 |
$4.91 |
$0.51 |
+11.6% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
No |
31 |
0.095 |
$2.91 |
$-13.32 |
-82.1% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
5 |
0.205 |
$1.02 |
$-3.42 |
-77.0% |