| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
Yes |
133 |
0.145 |
$19.23 |
$-20.47 |
-51.6% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
No |
17 |
0.643 |
$10.94 |
$-0.98 |
-8.2% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? |
No |
9 |
0.955 |
$8.53 |
$3.53 |
+70.5% |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? |
Yes |
43 |
0.180 |
$7.78 |
$-4.02 |
-34.1% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.985 |
$4.50 |
$0.50 |
+12.5% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
No |
26 |
0.150 |
$3.88 |
$-5.25 |
-57.5% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? |
Yes |
15 |
0.225 |
$3.38 |
$-1.73 |
-33.8% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
20 |
0.135 |
$2.73 |
$0.13 |
+4.8% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
Yes |
35 |
0.065 |
$2.26 |
$-2.14 |
-48.7% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
No |
2 |
0.976 |
$2.15 |
$0.14 |
+7.2% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? |
Yes |
38 |
0.055 |
$2.11 |
$-3.21 |
-60.3% |
| Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? |
No |
2 |
0.968 |
$2.06 |
$0.06 |
+3.0% |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
No |
2 |
1.000 |
$2.00 |
$0.42 |
+26.8% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
No |
3 |
0.635 |
$1.79 |
$-0.21 |
-10.6% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
5 |
0.325 |
$1.62 |
$-0.38 |
-18.8% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
9 |
0.184 |
$1.62 |
$-0.68 |
-29.4% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
2 |
0.790 |
$1.59 |
$-0.09 |
-5.2% |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? |
No |
2 |
0.705 |
$1.44 |
$0.44 |
+43.9% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
No |
1 |
0.935 |
$1.10 |
$0.10 |
+10.0% |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
62 |
0.015 |
$0.97 |
$-0.03 |
-3.1% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
30 |
0.030 |
$0.92 |
$-1.78 |
-66.1% |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
30 |
0.029 |
$0.85 |
$-0.17 |
-16.2% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1 |
0.545 |
$0.76 |
$-0.24 |
-24.3% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1 |
0.515 |
$0.62 |
$-0.38 |
-38.0% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
No |
4 |
0.145 |
$0.60 |
$-1.40 |
-69.8% |