| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
12,000 |
0.385 |
$4,620.00 |
$3,300.00 |
+250.0% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
No |
4,000 |
0.976 |
$3,904.00 |
$584.00 |
+17.6% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
No |
4,098 |
0.855 |
$3,503.63 |
$1,576.98 |
+81.9% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
9,000 |
0.298 |
$2,686.50 |
$-272.87 |
-9.2% |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 |
No |
2,000 |
0.840 |
$1,679.99 |
$1,059.99 |
+171.0% |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
81,267 |
0.011 |
$934.58 |
$-432.99 |
-31.7% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.635 |
$635.00 |
$-85.00 |
-11.8% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
Yes |
5,467 |
0.065 |
$355.37 |
$-467.94 |
-56.8% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
500 |
0.690 |
$344.95 |
$139.95 |
+68.3% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.146 |
$293.00 |
$101.00 |
+52.6% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.278 |
$277.61 |
$20.98 |
+8.2% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? |
No |
300 |
0.840 |
$251.99 |
$54.00 |
+27.3% |
| Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
48,055 |
0.004 |
$216.25 |
$-530.53 |
-71.0% |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
7,000 |
0.030 |
$213.50 |
$-24.50 |
-10.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
No |
800 |
0.230 |
$184.00 |
$-250.00 |
-57.6% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? |
Yes |
480 |
0.320 |
$153.65 |
$-24.01 |
-13.5% |
| Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
450 |
0.260 |
$117.00 |
$-74.50 |
-38.9% |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? |
Yes |
649 |
0.180 |
$116.83 |
$-96.66 |
-45.3% |
| Congress approves Iran deal in 2026? |
No |
55 |
0.870 |
$47.84 |
$5.25 |
+12.3% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
1,077 |
0.025 |
$27.35 |
$-11.41 |
-29.4% |