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Trader

0x2d48c834897176269fddde6043e566f6bbc1678c
PnL (30d)
−$507
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$85
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-12.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
17%
44W / 217L · 90 open
Win Return (30d)
22%
77W / 272L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
351
across 103 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$6.94
avg win $24 · loss $14
Profit Factor
0.38
$314 won / $820 lost
Reward / Risk
1.76
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$7
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $95,383

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

72 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 80 0.495 $39.60 $-9.20 -18.9%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? No 40 0.958 $38.30 $8.70 +29.4%
Will David Harbour – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie? No 114 0.326 $36.95 $0.67 +1.8%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? No 37 0.975 $35.65 $6.75 +23.4%
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.50 on December 31, 2026? No 40 0.887 $35.50 $18.70 +111.3%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No 38 0.905 $34.36 $4.37 +14.6%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes 48 0.685 $33.17 $5.08 +18.1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No 41 0.755 $30.61 $0.61 +2.0%
Will $ANSEM dip to $0.04 before 2027? No 40 0.735 $29.40 $22.20 +308.3%
California Immunology Research Bond Proposition Yes 38 0.710 $27.22 $-1.92 -6.6%
Will “The Traitors” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series? No 127 0.193 $24.49 $-26.30 -51.8%
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes 40 0.595 $23.70 $0.60 +2.6%
Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election? No 70 0.335 $23.45 $6.65 +39.6%
Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? No 185 0.125 $23.10 $-23.80 -50.7%
Will Catena launch a token by September 30, 2027? Yes 40 0.540 $21.60 $-6.40 -22.9%
Will Trump issue a veto in 2026? Yes 40 0.515 $20.60 $-2.20 -9.6%
Will $ANSEM dip to $0.08 before 2027? No 104 0.180 $18.77 $7.07 +60.4%
Will Kaitlin Olson – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series? Yes 40 0.451 $18.04 $-1.96 -9.8%
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? Yes 103 0.175 $18.02 $-8.34 -31.6%
Will Codex launch a token by December 31, 2027? Yes 40 0.450 $18.00 $-11.60 -39.2%
Will Mary Peltola win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round? Yes 20 0.875 $17.50 $6.10 +53.5%
Fed rate hike in 2026? No 42 0.375 $15.84 $-13.73 -46.4%
Will Prime Intellect launch a token by September 30, 2027? Yes 74 0.210 $15.50 $-45.81 -74.7%
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026? Yes 17 0.905 $15.32 $0.59 +4.0%
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by December 31? No 25 0.545 $13.62 $6.62 +94.6%