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Trader

0x25525b105f3e2d08a6c7b70126cb2d5996da0e26
PnL (30d)
−$138
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$47
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
no reliable basis
Win Resolved (30d)
80%
249W / 62L · 60 open
Win Return (30d)
78%
288W / 83L
Trades (30d)
371
across 162 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$1.14
avg win $5 · loss $28
Profit Factor
0.78
$477 won / $615 lost
Reward / Risk
0.17
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown

Open positions

103 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will at least 25 albums be ranked #1 on the Billboard 200 in 2026? Yes 60 0.971 $58.26 $49.69 +579.7%
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? Yes 60 0.947 $56.79 $26.79 +89.3%
Will Jean Smart – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series? Yes 60 0.890 $53.40 $41.40 +345.0%
Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027? Yes 60 0.705 $42.30 $12.30 +41.0%
Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? Yes 60 0.515 $30.90 $15.90 +106.0%
Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m? Yes 60 0.439 $26.34 $14.34 +119.5%
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? Yes 60 0.401 $24.06 $-5.94 -19.8%
Will another artist be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? Yes 50 0.465 $23.24 $10.74 +86.0%
Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 30m? Yes 60 0.387 $23.22 $11.22 +93.5%
Will Shailene Woodley – “Paradise” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a drama series? Yes 40 0.467 $18.47 $11.88 +180.2%
Will Colman Domingo – “Euphoria” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series? Yes 48 0.365 $17.41 $-6.44 -27.0%
Will Bradley Whitford – “The Diplomat” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series? Yes 60 0.255 $15.27 $5.27 +52.7%
Will The Oscars win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)? Yes 43 0.275 $11.86 $3.23 +37.5%
Will Ernest Harden Jr. – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series? Yes 60 0.191 $11.43 $1.43 +14.3%
Will Dee Valladares come in second-place on Big Brother season 28? Yes 60 0.115 $6.90 $5.44 +371.5%
Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 25m? Yes 60 0.113 $6.78 $-5.22 -43.5%
Will Oscar Isaac – “Beef” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie? Yes 11 0.595 $6.42 $4.26 +197.5%
Will Rick Devens come in second-place on Big Brother season 28? Yes 60 0.095 $5.70 $4.24 +289.5%
Will Merritt Wever – “The Gilded Age” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a drama series? Yes 52 0.098 $5.08 $-3.56 -41.2%
Will Ariana Grande be the third most streamed artist for 2026? Yes 60 0.081 $4.83 $-25.17 -83.9%
Will LaTrice Verrett come in second-place on Big Brother season 28? Yes 54 0.085 $4.63 $3.30 +248.5%
Will Drake be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? Yes 60 0.077 $4.62 $2.86 +161.8%
Will Brittany Allen – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a drama series? Yes 34 0.119 $4.12 $-13.12 -76.1%
Will Elle Fanning – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series? Yes 60 0.066 $3.93 $-8.07 -67.2%
Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 15m? Yes 60 0.065 $3.90 $-26.10 -87.0%