PnL (30d)

−$82

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$14

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-2.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

52%

339W / 311L · 12 open

Win Return (30d)

51%

339W / 323L

Trades (30d)

662

across 187 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$0.45

avg win $9 · loss $11

Profit Factor

0.92

$891 won / $973 lost

Reward / Risk

0.86

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$217

peak → trough (30d)

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

37 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	34	0.017	$0.56	$0.08	+16.6%
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	100	0.005	$0.55	$0.33	+155.8%
Will Traian Basescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	100	0.004	$0.40	$0.22	+116.9%
Will Jasmine Paolini win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	43	0.007	$0.32	$-0.71	-68.6%
Will Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	70	0.004	$0.25	$-1.83	-88.2%
Will Johnnie LaRossa win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Yes	34	0.004	$0.15	$-0.23	-59.9%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	50	0.003	$0.15	$-0.98	-86.7%
Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	3	0.040	$0.13	$0.03	+31.7%
Will Atlanta United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	34	0.003	$0.10	$-0.17	-62.5%
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be at least 5m square kilometers?	Yes	3	0.031	$0.09	$0.00	+3.3%
Will Conrad Ukropina win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Yes	34	0.002	$0.07	$-0.29	-81.2%
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.8m & 5m square kilometers?	Yes	2	0.030	$0.07	$0.00	+0.0%
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	25	0.003	$0.06	$-0.30	-82.9%
Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026?	Yes	29	0.002	$0.06	$-0.20	-77.7%
Will Reza Pirzadeh be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	34	0.002	$0.05	$-0.12	-70.0%
Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	34	0.002	$0.05	$-0.09	-62.5%
Will Aaron Kahng win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Yes	34	0.002	$0.05	$-0.51	-90.8%
Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	34	0.002	$0.05	$-0.09	-62.5%
Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	34	0.002	$0.05	$-0.09	-62.5%
Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	34	0.002	$0.05	$-0.09	-62.5%
Will Navid Shomali be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	34	0.002	$0.05	$-0.09	-62.5%
Will Massoud Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	34	0.002	$0.05	$-0.09	-62.5%
Will Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	34	0.002	$0.05	$-0.09	-62.5%
Will Mohsen Araki be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	34	0.002	$0.05	$-0.12	-70.0%
Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	68	0.001	$0.03	$-0.30	-89.7%