| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
Yes |
5,000 |
0.625 |
$3,124.73 |
$991.66 |
+46.5% |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
1,239 |
0.865 |
$1,072.09 |
$454.52 |
+73.6% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
3,500 |
0.298 |
$1,044.69 |
$920.42 |
+740.6% |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? |
Yes |
1,789 |
0.485 |
$867.90 |
$302.77 |
+53.6% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? |
Yes |
2,563 |
0.210 |
$538.27 |
$139.10 |
+34.8% |
| US recession by end of 2026? |
No |
500 |
0.920 |
$460.00 |
$65.00 |
+16.5% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? |
Yes |
176 |
0.560 |
$98.31 |
$44.85 |
+83.9% |
| Bank of England rate hike in 2026? |
Yes |
120 |
0.285 |
$34.20 |
$-6.14 |
-15.2% |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? |
No |
36 |
0.885 |
$32.28 |
$20.25 |
+168.2% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
258 |
0.115 |
$29.66 |
$-120.34 |
-80.2% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.015 |
$15.50 |
$-124.50 |
-88.9% |