PnL (30d)

−$55

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$10

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-10.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

32%

37W / 78L · 32 open

Win Return (30d)

30%

39W / 89L · 19 open

Trades (30d)

147

across 67 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$1.07

avg win $5 · loss $4

Profit Factor

0.59

$80 won / $135 lost

Reward / Risk

1.33

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Hotstuff FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	20	0.200	$4.00	$0.20	+5.3%
Hotstuff FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	9	0.355	$3.25	$1.97	+153.6%
Will AVAX reach $8 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	5	0.515	$2.58	$0.97	+60.9%
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	20	0.050	$1.00	$-1.00	-50.0%
Will Jerry Carl be the Republican nominee for AL-01?	No	21	0.046	$0.98	$-2.40	-71.1%
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?	Yes	10	0.080	$0.80	$-1.50	-65.2%
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	10	0.075	$0.75	$-1.05	-58.3%
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	6	0.098	$0.61	$-1.39	-69.6%