PnL (30d)

−$2,031

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$9

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-73.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

0%

0W / 171L · 126 open

Win Return (30d)

9%

28W / 269L

Trades (30d)

297

across 22 markets · ~14 per market

EV / position

−$203.07

· loss $203

Profit Factor

0.00

$0 won / $2,031 lost

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

−$25

peak → trough (30d)

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

21 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	1,310	0.485	$635.30	$137.54	+27.6%
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?	No	625	0.745	$465.88	$134.68	+40.7%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	870	0.515	$448.05	$-47.85	-9.6%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	3,000	0.117	$349.50	$-148.50	-29.8%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	1,600	0.184	$295.20	$-198.80	-40.2%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?	No	750	0.337	$252.38	$77.48	+44.3%
Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?	No	254	0.920	$234.16	$17.93	+8.3%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?	No	600	0.235	$141.00	$-79.00	-35.9%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?	No	600	0.150	$90.00	$-72.00	-44.4%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 12, 2026?	Yes	1,023	0.064	$64.95	$54.72	+535.0%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 27, 2026?	Yes	2,000	0.016	$32.00	$-8.00	-20.0%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?	Yes	100	0.293	$29.35	$-11.45	-28.1%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 13, 2026?	Yes	1,518	0.017	$25.04	$-5.31	-17.5%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 25, 2026?	Yes	500	0.033	$16.25	$6.25	+62.5%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 6, 2026?	Yes	1,735	0.006	$11.28	$-6.07	-35.0%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 29, 2026?	Yes	2,000	0.005	$11.00	$-29.00	-72.5%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?	Yes	500	0.018	$9.25	$-18.25	-66.4%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	200	0.037	$7.50	$-9.90	-56.9%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 11, 2026?	Yes	667	0.010	$6.67	$-6.67	-50.0%
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	Yes	19	0.095	$1.83	$-1.41	-43.6%
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?	Yes	5	0.040	$0.19	$-0.62	-76.5%