PnL (30d)

+$499

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$23

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+84.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

54%

60W / 51L · 162 open

Win Return (30d)

31%

85W / 188L

Trades (30d)

273

across 12 markets · ~23 per market

EV / position

+$55.45

avg win $167 · loss $34

Profit Factor

3.96

$668 won / $169 lost

Reward / Risk

4.95

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

Open positions

6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	8,860	0.020	$177.20	$-43.37	-19.7%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	1,202	0.117	$140.04	$-36.04	-20.5%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	500	0.125	$62.50	$13.50	+27.6%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	500	0.055	$27.50	$3.20	+13.2%
Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?	Yes	80	0.035	$2.83	$-0.85	-23.0%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	10	0.184	$1.84	$-0.81	-30.6%