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Trader leaderboard/profit4real

profit4real

0x14bc8992afdb6057eaafd223de793bfa6a293904
PnL (30d)
−$947
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$103
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-41.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
61%
11W / 7L · 5 open
Win Return (30d)
48%
11W / 12L
Trades (30d)
23
across 14 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$86.06
avg win $70 · loss $216
Profit Factor
0.27
$351 won / $1,298 lost
Reward / Risk
0.32
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $559,001

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

21 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes 1,247 0.100 $124.74 $-46.45 -27.1%
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No 199 0.550 $109.40 $-11.93 -9.8%
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? Yes 310 0.330 $102.42 $-108.23 -51.4%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No 129 0.735 $94.65 $28.44 +43.0%
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes 101 0.560 $56.51 $-5.51 -8.9%
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? Yes 34 0.820 $27.59 $1.01 +3.8%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? Yes 37 0.620 $23.13 $2.61 +12.7%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes 27 0.850 $22.90 $0.31 +1.4%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 23 0.865 $20.12 $0.81 +4.2%
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No 32 0.605 $19.48 $4.67 +31.5%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes 188 0.095 $17.85 $-10.33 -36.7%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No 18 0.855 $15.61 $2.10 +15.5%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes 33 0.455 $15.06 $0.93 +6.6%
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 15 0.940 $14.12 $3.56 +33.6%
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? No 14 0.998 $13.69 $0.01 +0.1%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 110 0.117 $12.78 $-4.88 -27.6%
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No 13 0.905 $11.59 $0.83 +7.7%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 148 0.044 $6.59 $-0.96 -12.7%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No 7 0.935 $6.11 $0.75 +14.0%
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? No 3 0.875 $2.90 $-0.05 -1.7%
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes 34 0.065 $2.21 $-2.90 -56.7%